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The impacts of paid family leave benefits: regression kink Evidence from california administrative data

Aug 2018
Working Paper
18-033
By  Sarah Bana, Kelly Bedard, and Maya Rossin-Slater

We use ten years of California administrative data with a regression kink design to estimate the causal impacts of benefits in the first state-level paid family leave program for women with earnings near the maximum benefit threshold. We find no evidence that a higher weekly benefit amount (WBA) increases leave duration or leads to adverse future labor market outcomes for this group. In contrast, we document that a rise in the WBA leads to a small increase in employment one to two years after leave and a sizeable increase in the likelihood of making a future paid family leave claim.

Publication Keywords: 
paid family leave
regression kink design
leave duration
maternal labor supply
temporary disability insurance